LaurensBER 55 minutes ago

I've been using it extensively since the release and the best summary I can give is that it's good enough to use it for (almost) everything and cheap enough that the cost are irrelevant. I'm running it in Oh My Pi with a second instance running as "advisor" and even with 5-6 active sessions (effectively 12 streams) I'm struggling to spend more than 5 bucks per day.

OpenCode Go even has double limits temporarily so for 10 USD you effectively get 140 USD of tokens to spend. It would impress me if someone could burn that amount with "normal" usage. Even when running multiple sessions.

I have a Claude Max subscription but I've barely touched it, it just feels like a step back to have to think about limits and usage even though the models are stronger.

The beauty of intelligence at this cost (even if it's not SOTA) is that it opens a whole bunch of new use cases. Test failure in CI? Have the bot automatically propose a fix, its cheap enough that you can discard it w/h issues. Test coverage too low? Auto generate tests on CI for every pull-requests! Monitoring server logs, continuous security audits and investigating every received exception now becomes possible.

I'm thinking about having it automatically filter and re-rank my social media feeds so I can steer the algorithm instead of the other way around.

Perhaps other people (with enormous budgets) were already doing all of the above but for us this is a really exciting release!

  • Aeolun 52 minutes ago

    But DeepSeek now has a warning they’re going to sharply increase their API pricing sometime in the future.

    • LaurensBER 49 minutes ago

      Dax (from Opencode) has tweeted that they can replicate or beat the price with rented GPUs. Deepseeks secret sauce is the incredibly cheap caching (magnitude cheaper than other providers).

      vLLM has recently released a similar approach. It's not as effective as what DeepSeek does but still an interesting development.

      I have no doubt that in due time other providers will match or perhaps even beat the current DeepSeek prices.

      • NorwegianDude 43 minutes ago

        Eh, what are you guys even talking about? Deepseek is not cheapest provider as is, and it's MIT. So deepseek making it more expensive to use is just nonsense, they can only change their own pricing. It's the beauty of MIT license and open weights. If anything, these models are some of the safest in the world to use if you worry about a rug pull.

        • akman 35 minutes ago

          90%+ cache hit rate is common, and so you'll see on places like openrouter that Deepseek cache cost is indeed a magnitude cheaper than the rest.

        • LaurensBER 28 minutes ago

          There's more to inference than just the input/output token cost. Caching has a massive impact.

          Deepseek charges $0.0028 per cache read on Openrouter. The next cheapest is $0.018.

          That's a massive difference and quickly adds up on coding sessions (which often hit 95%+ cached tokens).

      • retinaros 34 minutes ago

        any link to this caching tech?

        • LaurensBER 21 minutes ago

          [Feat][Core] Add disk offloading support to SimpleCPUOffloadConnector — #49644 https://github.com/vllm-project/vllm/pull/49644

          This adds disk as a tier in the HBM → CPU → Disk KV cache hierarchy.

          There's also a cluster of related KV-offload FS PRs: #49225 (read/write batching, still open) and #49152 (batch store/load in C, merged Jul 28).

          It's hard to say if these are similar to the approach DeepSeek takes but they definitely seem very interesting.

      • minraws 26 minutes ago

        As someone who recently tried it on some blackwell cards, it's possible to match the prices especially the input can be even cheaper and output can match the costs so you can easily build a net 20-30% margin business even at current GPU prices.

        The entire issue is caching, I tried to write some custom to dump to disk kv-caching using some ideas from their papers and my experience with snapshots and vm checkpoint systems, I must say they must have really squeezed that lemon it's hard.

        Atleast me with Sol couldn't figure it out over a couple days, a few hours each day, which isn't much but I did feel a bit stuck with existing solutions and felt like I might have to write something from scratch. But if you are willing to put in the effort into the infra I do think it's doable. But it will be really hard to pull it off.

        My congrats to anyone who manages to pull it off, they might be able to kill off most AI labs. Assuming they can find the compute, Deepseek really has killed all models for me other than Sol/Fable/Opus/K3 tier stuff.

      • onlyrealcuzzo 21 minutes ago

        > Deepseeks secret sauce is the incredibly cheap caching (magnitude cheaper than other providers).

        Can anyone working at one of the main US labs (Google, OpenAI, Anthropic) comment on WTF they haven't even tried MLA - despite the obvious massive advantages?

        I know enough to know they aren't completely incompetent. So there must be a quite good reason.

        But it remains a mystery to me.

        DeepSeek's MLA is like almost 2 years old at this time. They've got thousands of people working on this stuff. They clearly have the ability to at least try it...

      • twotwotwo 9 minutes ago

        One read is 1) they're getting a lot of traffic for Flash, 2) they've said they're updating Pro soon and expect that to lead to a traffic spike for Pro, but 3) that would leave them overloaded, so 4) they're going to raise prices to avoid it.

        It's interesting that most open models adding 1M context did it in a way that reduces KV cache size (though DeepSeek was the most aggressive, using compressed attention on all layers), but only a couple providers turned it into a discount on cache reads.

    • HSO 24 minutes ago

      even if they double it it`s from such a low base it is still supercheap

    • eli 16 minutes ago

      I assume/hope this is about prices going up for the next release of Pro

  • anramon 49 minutes ago

    >even if it's not SOTA

    And, probably 99.99% of people using LLM probably don't even need SOTA anyway.

    • swiftcoder 19 minutes ago

      At least on these benchmarks, it seems to be pretty handily scoring up with the SOTA from 6 months ago?

542458 1 hour ago

Kimi K3 was an interesting model only a month ago, and now we're looking at the same performance for 1/20th of the price. Wild how fast this is advancing.

  • whinvik 58 minutes ago

    Yeah either the benchmark isn't very useful anymore or V4 Flash is a really, really good model.

    • ignoramous 41 minutes ago

      In my use, DeepSeek v4 Flash (which replaced the quite excellent MiniMax M3) lags behind GLM 5.2 & Muse Spark 1.2 (let alone Kimi K3). Also, K3 is a much bigger multi-modal model, while Flash is text-only and likely optimised for coding tasks.

mosura 28 minutes ago

I strongly recommend trying this for programming tasks.

It is strong (not Fable strong though) with a much better “persona” than Opus, and very different blindspots. If you flip between Claude and this you will find both catch the mistakes of the other before they get out of control.

On balance I actually prefer DeepSeek for programming now, because of the way it talks.

  • chorizo 4 minutes ago

    This also reflects my experience and should put to bed the distillation rumours. This model feels nothing like the Claude models, including tone and blindspots.

xyzsparetimexyz 12 minutes ago

That page needs a Pareto frontier display. But wow, it absolutely demolishes.

minimaxir 1 hour ago

It's always fun when Max reasoning is cheaper than High reasoning.

sourcecodeplz 11 minutes ago

wow. i remember when GPT-5.2 (medium) was everyone's favorite.

ARC-AGI II:

- GPT-5.2 (medium) %26.7 ($0.759)

- DSV4-Flash (max) %61.4 ($0.04)

surprisetalk 52 minutes ago

This reminds me of those pareto-style speedrun record charts when a new glitch is discovered.

[0] https://taylor.town/silver-landmines

When I see dramatic leaps like this, it tells me that the important hacks haven't yet been discovered.

gentlewater 42 minutes ago

I’ve been refreshing hacker news constantly for a week now waiting for v4 pro, after they stated it would follow «soon». I have learnt «soon» is a matter of definition.

WhitneyLand 4 minutes ago

The DeepSeek team is so strong, very impressive.

Imagine if they had GPU resources of western labs.

esafak 52 minutes ago

It's serviceable but, like many Chinese models, it uses a lot of tokens to get work done.

  • gruez 12 minutes ago

    >it uses a lot of tokens to get work done.

    That's irrelevant when you use $/task as the metric, which the OP does use.

tosh 1 hour ago

results comparable to gpt 5.6 luna but cheaper

promising!

  • minimaxir 1 hour ago

    Since the x-axis is log-scaled, DeepSeek is much cheaper than visually implied (mousing over the raw values, it's 1/4th the cost of Luna).

  • LUmBULtERA 43 minutes ago

    Is it still cheaper than Luna if using an OpenAI subscription? My gut is no, but I have not done the math.

    • minimaxir 38 minutes ago

      Everything is cheaper if using a subscription, but some applications require API usage.

    • swiftcoder 18 minutes ago

      You'd have to compare against something like the OpenCode Go subscription, and I'm fairly sure deepseek napkins out cheaper in that scenario

luyu_wu 55 minutes ago

It is wild that this a log scale of cost to me!

clayhacks 52 minutes ago

Why wasn’t this run against ARC-AGI-3? Or did it fail to solve anything?

Havoc 47 minutes ago

They did recently announce they're increasing prices though (got a mail yesterday I think), so not sure this analysis showing it as price outlier will last

  • minimaxir 45 minutes ago

    That is only when using the DeepSeek API directly. OpenRouter has 24 different providers serving it at existing prices.

dcchambers 45 minutes ago

This latest DeepSeek is almost at the "too cheap to meter" level. That's going to be a larger unlock than models like Fable/Mythos that are way too expensive to justify, IMO.

What secret sauce do they have?

  • throwaway_95283 24 minutes ago

    limited resources, no modern GPUs, no $10 billion dev budgets.

    pair it with codewhale, 50 agents, 200 MB of ram.

antirez 54 minutes ago

Price is not a good meter. Active parameters per token are. Joule would be even better.

  • minimaxir 37 minutes ago

    Price accounts for computational/architectural efficiency improvements whereas active parameters does not.

  • orbital-decay 25 minutes ago

    It's an excellent metric, the amount of applications not viable now due to cost/latency/throughput is vastly bigger than the amount of current use cases. Even current ones do benefit, e.g. it's a great executor subagent.

    Energy and intelligence are good too, sure.

  • polytely 14 minutes ago

    for someone with a limited budget it is actually very important because it makes me less scared to experiment.

muricula 56 minutes ago

Price is confounded by VC subsidies, economies of scale, and inference optimizations. I think a more interesting chart would be ARC AGI vs forwards pass flops or ARC AGI vs training tokens. Of course we don't have those numbers for the closed source models or even some of the open weight ones.

  • minimaxir 52 minutes ago

    DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731 is an open-weights model which means price is determined by competition/invisible hand of the marketplace: https://openrouter.ai/deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731

    With the exception of cache costs, all providers have similar input/output costs.

    • kennywinker 46 minutes ago

      Not counting the cost of making the model, which is subsidized by… someone? The chinese gov i think?

  • npn 51 minutes ago

    weak argument. deepseek v4 flash is open weight, you can easily find other providers with competitive price with Deepseek (except for input caching), some even half as cheap.